Football Mar 05, 2026

Premier League relegation battle 2025/26: Odds, table, fixtures and predictions

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By Admin
Sports Journalist
Premier League relegation battle 2025/26: Odds, table, fixtures and predictions

Wolves couldn't, could they?

After the bottom team's back-to-back wins over Aston Villa and champions Liverpool, Rob Edwards' side have suddenly been given a glimmer of miracle survival.

According to Opta, the previously doomed side, who before the win over Liverpool were 100 per cent predicted to be relegated, now have a 0.16 per cent chance of staying up.

Wolves are the form side of the bottom six and have a favourable run-in, which gives them hope of not finishing bottom.

The Old Gold are three points behind second-bottom Burnley, who are eight points from safety, while West Ham occupy the final relegation spot in 18th and sit two points from safety with 10 games still to play.

But Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and Leeds are all nervously looking over their shoulders.

With six teams fighting to avoid relegation, Your Site keeps track of the battle for survival…

The fixture list is in Leeds and Wolves' favour based on the opposition's league position, with Spurs, Forest, West Ham and Burnley all having more difficult games left to play. If Wolves win every game, they will reach the 40-point mark.

There are some crucial clashes between relegation rivals in the last three months of the season, with Leeds facing four of the bottom six in their final six fixtures, including a final-day trip to West Ham.

Here are the six-pointers that could be key in deciding the relegation battle:

Wolves won on the weekend and on Tuesday night, and Leeds' defeat to Sunderland means they have lost back-to-back games. West Ham and Forest will be in action on Wednesday night, while Spurs host Crystal Palace on Thursday.

The Opta supercomputer still has the Hammers (68.18 per cent) as favourites to be relegated alongside Burnley (99 per cent).

Opta have given Forest a 23.6 per cent chance of going down, with Spurs at just 4.7 per cent. Leeds' chances of being relegated is now 4.2 per cent up from 2.1 per cent after the weekend.

In the last nine Premier League seasons, teams finishing on 36 points or more have avoided relegation.

Last season, 26 points would have been enough to stay up as an exceptionally poor bottom three of Leicester, Ipswich and Southampton all made an immediate return to the Championship.

Spurs took advantage of the trio's weaknesses to focus on winning the Europa League as they finished a dismal 17th on 38 points - 13 points above 18th-placed Leicester.

But that luxury for Tottenham is not there this season as they face the very real possibility of relegation to the second tier of English football for the first time since 1977.

With the teams involved in the relegation fight significantly stronger than last season, the 40-point mark could well be being eyed up.

Only three teams have been relegated with 40 points or more in the 20-team Premier League era - Sunderland (1996/97), Bolton (1997/98) and West Ham (2002/03) - the latter holding the record for the team relegated with the most points with 42.

Leeds have lost back-to-back home games and have won just once in their last seven games, leaving them 15th and six points off the bottom three.

Daniel Farke's side have won just once on the road in the league - a victory at Wolves in September - adding extra importance to their games at Elland Road.

"It would be the shock of the century. It would be absolutely mind-blowing to think that they could disappear out of this league, but I don't think they will."

Even if Gary Neville is confident the Premier League ever-presents will not be relegated, their form says otherwise, with Spurs sitting 16th and four points from the drop.

Igor Tudor's side are on a club-record equalling 10-game winless Premier League run, are yet to win in 2026 and are battling a crippling absentee crisis.

Two points behind Spurs are 17th-placed Nottingham Forest, who are on a five-game winless run in the league.

Like new Spurs boss Tudor, Forest's Vitor Pereira has not had the impact the club had hoped for after two defeats in his first two league games in charge.

West Ham looked doomed at the start of the year before a huge win at rivals Tottenham kickstarted their survival bid.

The Hammers have lost only twice since that victory in north London, giving them hope of avoiding relegation for the first time since 2011.

Burnley look likely for an immediate return to the Championship.

Scott Parker's side are eight points from safety and have only won one of their last 20 league games.

A 19-game winless start to the Premier League season seemed to have sealed Wolves' fate.

However, two victories on the spin means the Old Gold, who are 11 points from safety, need less of a major miracle to stay in the top flight for a ninth season.

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